I-dollar yase-US ibangela iingxaki zezoqoqosho

Imigaqo-nkqubo yezemali enobundlongondlongo nengakhathaliyo eyamkelwa yi-United States ibangele ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuthe kratya kwihlabathi jikelele, nto leyo ebangele ukuphazamiseka okugqugqisayo kwezoqoqosho kunye nokunyuka okuphawulekayo kobuhlwempu, ngakumbi kumazwe asakhasayo, iingcali zehlabathi zithi.

Ekulweni nokuqulatha i-inflation yase-US ebalekayo, engaphezulu kweepesenti ze-9 ngoJuni, i-US Federal Reserve inyuse inzala kane ukuya kwinqanaba langoku loluhlu lwe-2.25 ukuya kwi-2.5 ekhulwini.

UBenyamin Poghosyan, usihlalo weZiko lezoPolitiko kunye nezoQoqosho lweSifundo eYerevan, eArmenia, uxelele i-China Daily ukuba ukunyuka kuphazamise iimarike zezimali zehlabathi, amazwe amaninzi asakhulayo ajongene nokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu, ezama ukuzama ukufumana ukomelela kwezemali ebusweni. kwimingeni eyahlukeneyo yehlabathi.

"Sele ibangele ukuhla kwe-euro kunye nezinye iimali, kwaye iya kuqhubeka ibeka ukunyuka kwamaxabiso," watsho.

Abathengi-ivenkile

Abathengi bathengela inyama kwivenkile yegrosari eSafeway njengoko ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuqhubeka ukukhula e-Annapolis, eMaryland.

E-Tunisia, idola elomeleleyo kunye nokunyuka okubukhali kwixabiso lokuziinkozo kunye namandla kulindeleke ukuba kwandiswe uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali lwelizwe ukuya kwi-9,7 ekhulwini ye-GDP kulo nyaka ukusuka kwi-forecast ye-6.7 ekhulwini, irhuluneli yebhanki ephakathi uMarouan Abassi.

 

Ekupheleni kwalo nyaka ityala likawonke-wonke lelizwe liqikelelwa ukuba liya kufikelela kwi-114.1 yeebhiliyoni zeedinari (i-35.9 yeebhiliyoni zeedola), okanye i-82.6 yeepesenti ye-GDP yayo.I-Tunisia ihamba ngokungagqibekanga ukuba ukuwohloka kwangoku kwiimali zayo kuqhubeka, ibhanki yotyalo-mali uMorgan Stanley walumkisa ngoMatshi.

 

I-inflation yonyaka ka-Turkiye ifikelele kwirekhodi ephezulu ye-79.6 yeepesenti ngoJulayi, iphakamileyo kwiminyaka eyi-24.Idola enye yathengiswa kwi-18.09 liras yaseTurkey ngo-Aug 21, ephawula ilahleko kwixabiso le-100 ekhulwini xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka odlulileyo, xa izinga lokutshintshiselwa laliyi-8.45 liras kwidola.

 

Ngaphandle kweenzame zikarhulumente ezibandakanya ukunyusa umvuzo omncinci ukukhusela abantu kwiingxaki zemali ezibangelwa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu, abantu baseTurkey bayasokola ukufumana imali.

 

UTuncay Yuksel, ongumnini wevenkile ethengisa izinto ezithengisa ukutya e-Ankara, uthe usapho lwakhe luwele iimveliso zokutya ezinje ngenyama kunye nobisi kuluhlu lwegrosari ngenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso ukusukela ekuqaleni konyaka.

 

"Yonke into ibize kakhulu, kwaye amandla okuthenga abemi ehle kakhulu," i-Xinhua News Agency icaphule uYuksel esithi."Abanye abantu abanakukwazi ukuthenga iimfuno ezisisiseko."

 

Ukunyuka kwenzala ye-US Fed "ngokuqinisekileyo kubangele ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kumazwe asakhasayo", kwaye intshukumo ayinaxanduva, utshilo uPoghosyan.

 

"I-US isebenzisa i-dollar hegemony ukulandela iimfuno zayo ze-geopolitical. I-US kufuneka ithwale uxanduva ngezenzo zayo, ngakumbi njengoko i-US ibonakalisa njengomkhuseli wehlabathi jikelele wamalungelo oluntu okhathalele wonke umntu.

 

"Yenza ubomi bamashumi ezigidi zabantu bube lusizi ngakumbi, kodwa ndiyakholelwa ukuba i-US ayikhathali."

 

UJerome Powell, usihlalo we-US Federal Reserve, walumkisa nge-26 ka-Agasti ukuba i-US inokuthi ibeke inzala enkulu yokunyuka kwiinyanga ezizayo kwaye izimisele ukuthoba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuphezulu kwiminyaka engama-40.

UTang Yao, unjingalwazi odibeneyo kwiSikolo soLawulo saseGuanghua kwiYunivesithi yasePeking, uthe ukunciphisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso yinto ephambili eWashington ngoko ke iFed kulindeleke ukuba igcine amazinga okunyusa uninzi lonyaka ozayo.

Oku kuya kubangela ukudodobala koqoqosho lwehlabathi, ukuvuselela ukuhamba okubalulekileyo kwenkunzi evela kwiimarike zehlabathi ukuya e-US kunye nokuhla kwexabiso lezinye iimali ezininzi, utshilo uTang, esongeza ukuba umgaqo-nkqubo uza kubangela ukuba i-stock kunye ne-bond market yehle kwaye amazwe anoqoqosho olubuthathaka kunye iziseko zemali ukuthwala imingcipheko eyongezelelekileyo efana nokunyuka kwamatyala okusilela.

I-International Monetary Fund iphinde yalumkisa ukuba iinzame ze-Fed zokulwa noxinzelelo lwamaxabiso zingabetha kwiimarike ezikhulayo ezithwele ityala lemali yangaphandle.

"Ukuqiniswa ngokungacwangciswanga kweemeko zezimali zehlabathi kuya kuba ngumceli mngeni ngakumbi kumazwe asemngciphekweni omkhulu kwezemali, imingeni engasonjululwanga enxulumene nobhubhane kunye neemfuno ezibalulekileyo zenkxaso-mali yangaphandle," utshilo.

New-York-shop

Isiphumo se-Spillover

UWu Haifeng, umlawuli olawulayo weFintech Centre of Shenzhen Institute of Data Economy, naye uphakamise inkxalabo ngesiphumo sokuchitheka komgaqo-nkqubo weFed, esithi izisa ukungaqiniseki kunye nesiphithiphithi kwiimarike zamazwe ngamazwe kwaye ibetha uqoqosho oluninzi kakhulu.

Ukunyusa izinga lenzala akukhange kunciphise ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-US ngokufanelekileyo, okanye kunciphise amaxabiso abathengi belizwe, utshilo uWu.

Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso omthengi wase-US kwenyuka ngeepesenti ze-9.1 kwiinyanga ze-12 ukuya kuJuni, ukwanda ngokukhawuleza ukususela ngoNovemba 1981, ngokwezibalo ezisemthethweni.

Nangona kunjalo, i-US ayifuni ukuyivuma yonke le nto kwaye isebenze namanye amazwe ukukhulisa i-globalization kuba ayifuni kuhambela ngokuchasene nezinto ezinomdla ezibandakanya izityebi kunye ne-complex yezomkhosi, utshilo uWu.

Iintlawulo ezibekwe e-China, umzekelo, okanye nayiphi na isohlwayo kwamanye amazwe, ayinayo impembelelo ngaphandle kokwenza abathengi base-US bachithe imali eninzi kwaye basongela uqoqosho lwase-US, uWu uthe.

Iingcali zibona ukuwisa izohlwayo njengenye indlela yokuba i-US yonyuse i-dollar hegemony.

Ukusukela ekusekweni kwenkqubo ye-Bretton Woods ngo-1944 idola yaseMelika ithathe indima yemali egciniweyo yehlabathi, kwaye kumashumi eminyaka i-US igcine isikhundla sayo njengeyona ndawo iphambili kuqoqosho lwehlabathi.

Nangona kunjalo, intlekele yezemali yehlabathi ka-2008 yaphawula ukuqala kokuphela kwe-US hegemony.Ukwehla kwe-US kunye "nokwanda kwabanye", kubandakanya iChina, iRussia, iIndiya kunye neBrazil, bacele umngeni ubungangamsha baseMelika, utshilo uPoghosyan.

Njengoko i-US yaqala ukujongana nokhuphiswano olukhulayo oluvela kwamanye amaziko olawulo, yagqiba ekubeni isebenzise indima yedola njengemali egciniweyo yehlabathi kwiinzame zayo zokuqulatha ukunyuka kwabanye kunye nokugcina i-US hegemony.

Isebenzisa isikhundla sedola, i-US igrogrise amazwe kunye neenkampani, isithi iya kubasusa kwinkqubo yemali yehlabathi ukuba abawulandeli umgaqo-nkqubo waseMelika, utshilo.

“Ixhoba lokuqala lalo mgaqo-nkqubo yi-Iran, eyathi yabekwa phantsi kwezohlwayo zezoqoqosho,” utshilo uPoghosyan."Emva koko i-US yagqiba ukusebenzisa lo mgaqo-nkqubo wezohlwayo ngokuchasene ne-China, ngakumbi ngokuchasene neenkampani zonxibelelwano zaseTshayina, ezinje ngeHuawei kunye ne-ZTE, ezazikhuphisana kakhulu nezigebenga ze-IT zaseMelika kwiindawo ezinje ngothungelwano lwe-5G kunye nobukrelekrele bokwenziwa."

Abarhwebi-umsebenzi

isixhobo Geopolitical

Urhulumente wase-US usebenzisa idola ngakumbi nangakumbi njengesixhobo esiphambili sokuqhubela phambili umdla wakhe we-geopolitical kwaye uqulathe ukunyuka kwabanye, ukuthembela kwidola kuyehla, kwaye amazwe amaninzi asakhulayo azimisele ukuyishiya njengeyona mali iphambili yorhwebo, utshilo uPoghosyan. .

"La mazwe kufuneka acacise iindlela zokunciphisa ukuxhomekeka kwawo kwidola yaseMelika, kungenjalo azakuba phantsi kwesoyikiso saseMelika sokutshabalalisa uqoqosho lwawo."

UTang weSikolo soLawulo saseGuanghua ucebise ukuba uqoqosho oluphuhlayo kufuneka luhluke kurhwebo kunye nezezimali ngokunyusa inani lamaqabane amakhulu orhwebo kunye nemithombo yemali kunye neendawo zokutshala imali, kwimizamo yokunciphisa ukuxhomekeka kwabo kuqoqosho lwase-US.

I-de-dollarization iya kuba nzima kwixesha elifutshane kunye nexesha eliphakathi kodwa imarike yezemali yehlabathi ephilileyo kunye neyohlukeneyo kunye nenkqubo yemali inokunciphisa ukuthembela kwi-dollar yase-US kunye nokuzinzisa umyalelo wezezimali wamazwe ngamazwe, utshilo uTang.

Amazwe amaninzi alehlisile isixa setyala lase-US analo kwaye aqalise ukuhlanganisa oovimba bawo botshintshiselwano lwangaphandle.

IBhanki yakwaSirayeli ibhengeze ngo-Epreli ukuba yongeze iimali zaseCanada, eOstreliya, eJapan naseTshayina koovimba bayo botshintshiselwano lwangaphandle, ebezifudula zilinganiselwe kwidola yaseMelika, iponti yaseBritane kunye neyuro.

Iidola zaseMelika zithatha umyinge wama-61 epesenti yepotfoliyo yovimba welizwe langaphandle, xa kuthelekiswa nepesenti ezingama-66.5 ngaphambili.

Ibhanki esembindini yaseYiputa ikwasigcinile isicwangciso sepotfoliyo eyohlukeneyo ngokuthenga iitoni zegolide ezingama-44 kwikota yokuqala yalo nyaka, ulwando lweepesenti ezingama-54, iWorld Gold Council yatsho.

 

Amanye amazwe afana ne-Indiya ne-Iran axoxa ngamathuba okusebenzisa iimali zelizwe kurhwebo lwawo lwamazwe ngamazwe.

Inkokeli ePhakamileyo yase-Iran u-Ayatollah Ali Khamenei uye wabiza ngoJulayi ukuba i-dollar iyeke ngokuthe ngcembe kurhwebo lwamazwe amabini kunye neRussia.Ngomhla we-19 kaJulayi iRiphablikhi yamaSilamsi yaqalisa urhwebo lwe-rial-rouble kwimarike yotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle.

"Idola isayigcinile indima yayo njengemali egciniweyo yehlabathi, kodwa inkqubo ye-dollarization iqalile ukukhawuleza," utshilo uPoghosyan.

Kwakhona, ukuguqulwa komyalelo we-post-Cold War kuya kubangela ukusekwa kwehlabathi le-multipolar kunye nokuphela kwe-hegemony yase-US ngokupheleleyo, wathi.


Ixesha lokuposa: Sep-05-2022