Iimeko zemarike yentsimbi yangoku ziquka ukubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kancinci kodwa rhoqo. Imfuno yentsimbi yehlabathi iqikelelwa ukuba iza kukhula kwakhona kunyaka ozayo, nangona amazinga enzala aphezulu kunye nezinye iimpembelelo zamazwe ngamazwe—kunye noqhankqalazo lwabasebenzi beemoto base-United States eDetroit, eMich—ziyaqhubeka nokubandakanya ukuguquguquka kwemfuno kunye namaxabiso achaphazela ikamva leshishini lentsimbi.
Ishishini lesinyithi liyintsika ebalulekileyo yokulinganisa uqoqosho lwehlabathi. Ukwehla kwamandla emali eMelika kutshanje, amazinga aphezulu okunyuka kwamaxabiso, kunye nemiba yothungelwano lokubonelela, lwasekhaya nolwehlabathi liphela, zezona zinto ziphambili ezenzekayo kwimarike yesinyithi, nangona zibonakala ngathi azinakuphazamisa ukuphucuka okuqhubekayo kwemfuno yesinyithi kumazwe amaninzi kunye namazinga okukhula afunyenweyo ngo-2023.
Emva kokunyuka kwe-2.3% ngo-2023, iWorld Steel Association (worldsteel) iqikelela ukukhula kwe-1.7% kwimfuno yentsimbi yehlabathi ngo-2024, ngokwengxelo yayo yamva nje yeShort Range Outlook (SRO). Nangona kulindeleke ukuba ukwehla kwesantya eTshayina, ishishini lentsimbi eliphambili kwihlabathi, uninzi lwehlabathi lulindele ukuba imfuno yentsimbi ikhule. Ukongeza, iInternational Stainless Steel Forum (worldstainless) iqikelela ukuba ukusetyenziswa kwentsimbi engagqwali kwihlabathi kuya kukhula nge-3.6% ngo-2024.
E-US, apho uqoqosho luye lwaphucuka emva kobhubhane, imisebenzi yokuvelisa iye yehla, kodwa ukukhula kufanele kuqhubeke kumacandelo afana neziseko zophuhliso zikarhulumente kunye nemveliso yamandla. Emva kokuhla nge-2.6% ngo-2022, ukusetyenziswa kwentsimbi e-US kuye kwehla nge-1.3% ngo-2023 kwaye kulindeleke ukuba kukhule kwakhona nge-2.5% ukuya kutsho ngo-2024.
Nangona kunjalo, olunye utshintsho olungalindelekanga olunokuchaphazela kakhulu ishishini lesinyithi kulo nyaka uphela ukuya kuthi ga kowama-2024 yingxabano eqhubekayo yabasebenzi phakathi kwemanyano yabasebenzi be-United Auto Workers (UAW) kunye nabenzi beemoto "abathathu abakhulu"—iFord, iGeneral Motors, kunye neStellantis.
Okukhona uqhankqalazo lude, kokukhona iimoto ezimbalwa eziveliswayo, nto leyo ebangela ukuba kubekho imfuno encinci yentsimbi. Intsimbi ithatha ngaphezulu kwesiqingatha somthamo wesithuthi esiqhelekileyo, ngokutsho kwe-American Iron and Steel Institute, kwaye phantse i-15% yempahla yasekhaya yentsimbi e-US iya kwishishini leemoto. Ukwehla kwemfuno yentsimbi etshisiweyo netyibilikayo kunye nokuncipha kwenkunkuma yentsimbi esetyenzisiweyo kwiimoto kunokubangela utshintsho olukhulu lwamaxabiso kwimarike.
Ngenxa yobuninzi bentsimbi elahliweyo edla ngokuphuma kwimveliso yeemoto, ukwehla kwemveliso kunye nemfuno yentsimbi ngenxa yoqhankqalazo kunokubangela ukunyuka okukhulu kwamaxabiso entsimbi elahliweyo. Okwangoku, amawaka eetoni zeemveliso ezingasetyenziswanga ezisele kwimarike zikhokelela ekuweni kwamaxabiso entsimbi. Ngokwengxelo yakutshanje evela kwi-EUROMETAL, amaxabiso entsimbi elahliweyo nelahliweyo aqala ukwehla kwiiveki ezikhokelela kuqhankqalazo lwe-UAW kwaye afikelela kumanqaku awo aphantsi ukusukela ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari 2023.
I-SRO yeWorldsteel iphawula ukuba ukuthengiswa kweemoto kunye nezithuthi ezilula eMelika kubuye nge-8% ngo-2023 kwaye kulindeleke ukuba kunyuke nge-7% eyongezelelweyo ngo-2024. Nangona kunjalo, akucaci ukuba olu gwayimbo lunokuchaphazela kangakanani intengiso, imveliso, kwaye, ngenxa yoko, imfuno yentsimbi.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Disemba-12-2023
